Israel’s ruling coalition suffered a major setback after United Torah Judaism (UTJ), a key ultra-Orthodox party, announced it was quitting the government. The party declared its decision early Tuesday, citing anger over a new bill regarding military draft exemptions. UTJ’s two factions said the government repeatedly failed to protect exemptions for Jewish seminary students, most of whom study religious texts instead of serving in the military. Degel HaTorah, one of the factions, said in a statement, “After the government repeatedly violated its commitments to ensure the status of Jewish seminary students,” their lawmakers would resign “from the coalition and the government.”

Tensions Over Military Service Law

Israel’s military draft policy has long divided its Jewish citizens. While most are required to enlist, ultra-Orthodox men are often exempted. However, since the Gaza war began, calls for ending these exemptions have grown, as military manpower needs have increased. The new bill, which would formalize these exemptions, angered many Israelis but did not meet UTJ’s demands either.

Impact on Netanyahu’s Government

Although UTJ’s departure weakens Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s coalition, it does not immediately end his rule. The party’s withdrawal will officially take effect in 48 hours. After that, Netanyahu will be left with a narrow majority, heavily dependent on far-right parties. These groups are against any ceasefire with Hamas and have previously threatened to leave the government if the war pauses or ends.

Hope of Reconciliation

Meanwhile, Netanyahu still has 48 hours to win back UTJ. Analysts, however, doubt any quick compromise. Shuki Friedman from the Jewish People Policy Institute said the gap between the party’s demands and the proposed law remains too wide. He added that the government is safe for now, since opposition parties cannot trigger early elections before the end of the year due to procedural rules. Parliament’s summer break, starting soon and lasting until October, also gives Netanyahu time to negotiate.

No Immediate Threat to Netanyahu

Despite the political crisis, experts believe Netanyahu’s leadership is not under immediate threat. Cabinet Minister Miki Zohar, from Netanyahu’s Likud party, said, “God willing, everything will be fine,” expressing hope UTJ might return to the coalition.

Truce Talks with Hamas Continue

The coalition crisis comes as Israel holds ceasefire talks with Hamas over the 21-month war in Gaza. Despite pressure from the US, Egypt, and Qatar, no breakthrough has been achieved. A key obstacle remains Netanyahu’s far-right allies, who oppose ending the war while Hamas still exists.

In short, Netanyahu’s government faces internal turmoil just as Israel navigates sensitive ceasefire negotiations. While UTJ’s departure destabilizes the coalition, immediate collapse appears unlikely.