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Mediators Push 45-Day Ceasefire to Avert US-Iran Escalation
Mediators push a 45-day ceasefire plan as a last effort to prevent escalation in the US-Iran conflict.

In a final attempt to avoid a major escalation, global mediators are working on a two-phase plan to end the conflict between the United States and Iran, according to Axios.

Countries such as Pakistan, Egypt, and Turkey are actively involved. They are coordinating with both sides to secure a 45-day ceasefire that could eventually lead to a permanent peace agreement.

However, sources said the chances of reaching a deal within the next two days remain low. Still, they described it as the only realistic option to prevent a wider conflict.

Trump’s Deadline Raises Pressure

US President Donald Trump has set a strict deadline of 8 pm ET on Tuesday for Iran to accept his terms.

He warned that if Iran refuses, the US could launch major attacks on infrastructure, including power plants and bridges. At the same time, Iran is expected to respond strongly, targeting key facilities across the region, such as oil and gas sites and water desalination plants.

Direct Talks but Deep Distrust

Sources said US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi have exchanged direct messages.

Despite this, trust between the two sides remains very low. The US is pushing for confidence-building steps from Iran. Meanwhile, Iran fears falling into a situation similar to the Gaza Strip, where ceasefire agreements exist but are not fully implemented.

Risk to Critical Infrastructure

Experts warn that attacks on desalination plants could have serious consequences. Major cities like Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Doha depend heavily on such facilities for drinking water.

Reports suggest that desalination provides around 90% of water in Kuwait, 86% in Oman, and 70% in Saudi Arabia.

Details of the Ceasefire Proposal

The proposed plan focuses on a 45-day temporary ceasefire. During this period, both sides would work toward a permanent agreement. Sources said the initial truce could be extended if talks show progress.

Key issues include reopening the Strait of Hormuz and addressing Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile. Sources said Iran’s uranium could either be removed from the country or reduced from around 60% enrichment to safer levels of 3–5%.

Efforts to Build Trust

Mediators are trying to convince Iran to take initial steps that build trust. At the same time, they are urging the US to provide guarantees that the ceasefire will lead to a permanent end to the war.

Iranian officials have made it clear that they do not want a situation like Lebanon or Gaza, where ceasefires drag on while attacks continue.

Situation Remains Fragile

The situation remains highly uncertain. Diplomatic efforts continue, but strong warnings and deep mistrust between both sides keep tensions high. The coming days are likely to be crucial in deciding whether the conflict escalates or moves toward de-escalation.